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FUTURE: The Great Mobile Trend

Update: HP has just notified us that the winner of the laptop (below) must be a Singapore resident I can hear your groans because I would feel the same too. Nonetheless, please feel free to comment .

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sketchIf you ask me what I envision the future to be, I would say mobile.

Some of you might share the same vision, but what opportunities lie ahead is something that  I’m particularly interested in.

Before we get too engrossed in the guessing game, let’s see what hints past events in the mobile industry have left us.

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1. The iPhone Explosion

iphoneApple rocked the mobile industry with the introduction of the iPhone. Since then, its market share has seen amazing growth. It is not the first smartphone, but it’s revolutionary – thanks to its massive number of applications that are highly customizable to suit everyone’s needs. There is an app for almost anything.

That probably shook giant mobile makers, Nokia, Samsung, and HTC back to reality. The iPhone technology was at least 5 years more advance than what the world had back in 2007. Many great entrepreneurs saw the opportunity to ride on the iPhone wave. Tapulous is a good example; the amount of revenue generated by it was astonishing.

2. Widespread Smartphone adoption

nexus oneNokia has reacted to the iPhone rave via lawsuits, BlackBerry came out with its own BlackBerry Appworld, and Motorola with its Droid (remember the iDon’t campaign?) Most recently, we saw Google’s Nexus One’s potential of becoming iPhone’s strongest competition yet.

Nexus One has a simple design like the iPhone and its dynamic apps platform depends heavily on its users too. It isn’t my concern here to debate if Nexus One is indeed better than the iPhone.

But will Nexus One be a success? Probably yes. I haven’t gotten hold of it but if it comes from Google, we should all expect it to be of high product quality. On top of that, Google has a whole lot of supporters and developers (for apps) that are willing to give Nexus One a try.

With iPhone and Nexus One out in the market, we can expect more people switching to smartphones, which is the building block towards the mobile rave.

3. Changing Behavior

Data plans used to cost a bomb several years ago, but it has gone increasingly affordable since. The combination of affordable data plan and increasing smartphone usage would get more people online, which is exactly what the chart below illustrates.

web consumption

As more time is spent on smartphones, we would see more folks either on the web or applications (playing games, reading news or managing your work schedule). A classic example of how technology has changed our behavior.

With increased usage comes opportunities for advertisers to spread their message.

4. Mobile Ads. Mobile Apps

Google acquired AdMob for $750 million while Apple acquired Quattro Wireless for $275 million. Both of which are mobile advertising companies.

With the vision of widespread adoption of smartphones, hosting mobile ads is probably one of the most lucrative businesses to be in. And mind you, ads don’t only appear on websites or Google search, they appear on apps too. Whether we’re on the web or meddling with apps, smartphone users are consistently exposed to ads.

ads on apps

Applications are hot. Think TIME mobile, Starbucks, Pizza Hut order app etc.

As a new channel to gain sales, smartphones have become essential to companies. This is especially so as they get smarter. Their capability isn’t restricted by the manufacturer but by the user.

Well, at least for the iPhone users, they are certainly maximizing their phones’ potential with 2 billion downloads over the span of 2 years.

5. Opportunities

moneyThe current situation reminds me of the time when Google had just perfected its advertising platform, which also coined the birth of search engine marketing (SEM). Companies that jumped right in were pretty brave. No one knew Google would be the Google we know today (or in the future).

First mover companies that took the plunge to manage their clients’ Google Adwords accounts were making huge money. So what business opportunities would mobile bring us? Here are some that we have thought of:

a. Mobile consultancy firm: Help firms manage their mobile website or enhance their mobile visibility through apps and mobile advertising.

b. Mobile ad network: While Google and Apple might have the upper hand, there is always room to adopt a niche position. A good contrast would be between Google AdWords and BuySellAds.

c. Mobile Technology: A platform that helps firm to build customized mobile solution, from customer service to retail store sales.

d. MMS and SMS Marketing: A platform that helps to draft (MMS and SMS), track and measure ROI for optimized mobile advertising.

e. Apps software: A software that allows small businesses to create their own apps with simple GUI.

f. Location advertising: An app that allows a user to explore great deals and promotion (say 1km radius) around his/her current location.

Win A HP Mini 5101

This blog post is part of HP’s Future is campaign, “Blog A Trend”.

To participate, drop a comment below. We’re interested to hear your thoughts, criticisms, and vision for the future of technology. The best commenter across all 5 blogs (that are taking part in this campaign) might stand a chance to win a HP Mini 5101 completely free. Winner will be announced latest by early March 2010. Have fun!

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HP Mini 5101

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About Willis Wee

Founder of Penn Olson who is also an entrepreneur since 2005. He has had experience in crafting social media strategies for organizations such as Marriott Vacation Club, James Cook University, Reach Singapore and Unilever. Contact him at willis[at]penn-olson[dot]com

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  • http://www.buildthatlist.com/ Tom

    The mobile market is a massively trending market and with the rate of adoption of smart phones it is only set to explode.

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    Agree. I'm excited about what nexus one will bring to the market :)

  • http://twitter.com/manojksamy Manoj Kandasamy

    As more brands understands that its imperative to do marketing WITH the consumers rather than marketing TO them, they will also realize that MOBILE is not about the device by its all about ON-THE-GO consumers.

    The future is already in our palms now, but the question is are we ready to press the trigger?

    I guess Google and Apple just did that!.

    Good day,

    Manoj Kandasamy.

  • fated82

    Mobile marketing is going to be the next wave of 'new media marketing'. However, it will be more personalize and the users will be harder to reach.

    The numbers supporting this trend is staggering, with almost a billion users coming from Asia itself.

    http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/237789/next-billi…

    So for the nimble SMEs who are tech savvy, it will be wise to start positioning yourself and embrace the incoming wave.

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    thanks for the info. I think Foursquare is something SMBs can leverage on :)

    http://www.penn-olson.com/2009/12/09/foursquare…

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    yes. apple and google are certainly in the right direction. even with that said, there are still rooms for niche entrepreneurs to start something really exciting!

  • Minghao Teoh

    Yes,agree. Mobile certainly will be one of the future's big thing. From pri-sch kids, to primary, secondary, high sch students, to the adult working in blue collar sector and white collar sector, to the elderly, most own a mobile phone. If there is a top 10 num of devices that is the most widely used, i think mobile phone will occupy the number one spot.THe purpose of technology is to make life easier and more convenient for human. Mobile device do serve this purpose. Good post. Many will benefit from this. =)

  • duke_willy

    Technology trend sure help the world of mobile apps. Even now, we are seeing smarter phones tapping on wider bandwidth and technological advancements. As the current HSPA+ technology matures, new platforms for mobile app developers would emerge. Now the question is whats next, when the network providers are done milking the current cow.

    We heard of Wi-Max and LTE promises to deliver un-imaginable data rates and stability, can the current apps that we love now be scaled to embrace the coming wave of insane band-width. How would it change the landscape for mobile advertising?

    High quality content are already in the pipeline to tap on the vast potential of 4G, which could be very soon. The usual suspects would be HD video streaming – which will defo equate to HD video ads, MMO games on mobile which imo has a huge market for the gaming industry. Also we should remind ourselves that legacy internet based services/players now have a good chance at the mobile arena thanks to high speed mobile broadband.

    So returning back to the original topic, what's there for the young startups hopping to benefit from the rapid expanding mobile technology. Is it easier to gain a share of the pie by developing innovative and scalable apps or should we just focus on service provision. Maybe a mobile bittorrent is a good start? Whichever way, the future is very bright for this arena and there will defo be massive brawls over this market. In fact we are already seeing it now !!!

  • http://%/spsibmsk1 SuperMan

    Спс

  • http://twitter.com/manojksamy Manoj Kandasamy

    Hi Wills,

    Yes, definitely there is room for innovation. I believe the next mobile innovation will emerge either from Asia or Africa especially in mobile learning/mobile healthcare..

    Asia is the new west :)

    Good day.

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    thanks duke_willy. Great insight (really deep indeed). So what do you think about the ideas that I have put in so far.

    Just for your info, I'm more of a marketing person than a technical one. Would appreciate if you would give me (or us) you take.

    Opening this question to all as well.

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    yes and thanks!

    Isn't smartphone going to make the future of mobile even more exciting? :)

  • http://www.twitter.com/chris_faller Christian Faller

    If only the gap between countries wouldn't be that big. It's kinda similar to the digital divide only on a larger scale. Even in Germany the whole process of getting more and more mobile is slowed down extremely due to high-priced products and contracts with providers. Anyway I totally agree that the future is going to be thoroughly mobile :)

  • Minghao Teoh

    From all i have gather in the posts; from PC desktop, to laptop, then net books, and now smart phone which have capability of a computer, the trend is quite obvious. THings are getting lighter, more convenient and more mobile. Henceforth, one of the future big thing will definitely be mobile.

    And to add on, the “come-alongs” with mobile smartphone will certainly be the big hits too. Ie, like what Duk-willy had mentioned; aps Wi-max, 4G, mobile bittorrent etc.

    End of day, main purpose of technology is to make things more convenient, simpler and comfortable. Whatever, whichever goes along with this, will be the future…

  • http://www.facebook.com/alanzzy Alan Zhuo Zhengyang

    Hey I gotta say that this is a great post. Was actually debating with myself on whether to get a smartphone (iPhone) or just go for a simple phone. this post has made me kind of realised that phone's today represent more than a tool, it's more lifestyle. Gotta say it helped me make up my mind. :)

    But I think that the industry will be heading towards probably 2 dominant platforms at most (Apple and Andriod) just as computer platforms narrowed down to Windows.

    So do you suppose marketing/application designers should bet on 1 particular platform and which one?

    Keep up on the good work! great post!

  • http://twitter.com/williswee Willis Wee

    Thanks for the comments Alan!

    Developers should be able to work on both platforms. Apple OS certainly has the upper hand but I believe Google has a stronger backbone of developers since they are afterall a coding based business.

    If I were an entrepreneur starting from scratch, I would pick to develop Android apps. If I have something in mind that can potentially market to the masses, I would pick the iPhone OS.

    I'm looking at this from a marketer's POV. I'm no developer :)

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/01/23/the-google-revenue-equation/ The Google Revenue Equation | Penn Olson

    [...] has probably predicted long ago that mobile would be the next big thing. Not only has it introduced the Nexus One, it has also acquired AdMob for $750 million. Serving [...]

  • zhiyang

    thought so too. i agree that with the cheap plans and the combination of affordable data plans and many new and easy-to-use applications coming up, the iPhone is certainly the top of the trend list. but just maybe the trend is stuck at this time for now. with the iPhone leading the way for many smartphones to develop, i'm pretty sure at least for now, the mobile trend will pause for awhile whilst many tries to catch up. and who knows what technology have to offer next? someone, somewhere out there could be researching the combination of bio-tech and nano tech as we speak. but anyway, i'm still looking forward to what more things mobile have to offer =D

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/01/29/businesses-can-help-foursquare-thrive/ Businesses Can Help Foursquare Thrive | Penn Olson

    [...] cost-free platform for businesses to engage in location-based advertising (check out the post on mobile trend). Imagine Starbucks were to give away a free coffee passport for the mayor of the month. I bet [...]

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/02/15/apple-app-store-faces-giants/ Apple App Store Faces Giants | Penn Olson

    [...] witnessing an exciting episode of the mobile trend. And there are surely windows of opportunities for businesses to jump if this alliance [...]

  • rainieong

    I was thinking of getting either an iPhone or blackberry a few months back. In the end, i got myself an iPhone as I feel at that iPhone act as a gaming device for me. But after getting it, i realise there is more it this SMART phone… The apps in it is not only abt games, i can use it as a GPS, FB, Ebuddy, etc… (even checking of car park pricings). And the data plans nowadays is really affordable too.. :)

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/03/04/brewerkz-singapore-how-it-uses-social-media/ Brewerkz Singapore: How It Uses Social Media | Penn Olson

    [...] Brewerkz is in the midst of running its second promotion (one-for-one beer pints) with BuUuk, an iPhone and android phone application (for restaurants search) that has over 50,000 users in Singapore alone. Its first promotion (one-for-one burgers) received over 2,000 offer views and the tool itself has helped Brewerkz achieve top of mind effect with restaurant seekers. Being on mobile tools are especially important to ride the fast increasing mobile trend. [...]

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/06/02/how-a-mobile-app-could-revolutionize-the-food-industry/ How A Mobile App Could Revolutionize The Food Industry | Penn Olson

    [...] mobile trend is moving rapidly. We have witnessed the rise of smartphones, which resulted the birth of other [...]

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  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/06/18/social-networking-mobile-app-usage-increased-by-240/ Social Networking Mobile App Usage Increases By 240% | Penn Olson

    [...] is getting clear now that the future is going mobile. If your business is not part of any mobile app, you might want to reconsider your strategies. If [...]

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/07/07/6-things-about-indias-mobile-landscape/ 6 Things About India’s Mobile Landscape | Penn Olson

    [...] without our mobile device, and we are increasingly using it for different purposes. With our future going mobile, we definitely need to know more about [...]

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2010/07/29/mobile-advertising/ Mobile Advertising and The Rise of Coupons [INFOGRAPHIC] | Penn Olson

    [...] mobile industry is huge and it’s showing strong signs of being a great advertising channel. 2 out of every 3 people own a phone and it is predicted that [...]

  • Dockfish

    I am digging the old post.

    willes good article,

    good 6 points. Lot of opportunities for sure and its going to be fast.

    What I think is

    big mobile innovation is from east, as we use mobile the most. In asia lot of ppl are introduced to internet for the first time through phone rather than pc.

    lot of cheap mobile tech from asian countries.

    There will be another billion dollar company from mobile shift. like facebook.

    innovation will be in every field, like social networking, banking etc on mobile.

    apps will get bigger/much bigger compared to small apps now.

    apps are new websites.

    apps development companies, app designing companies.

    affiliate marketing for apps

    micro eCommerce

    “Apps software: A software that allows small businesses to create their own apps with simple GUI.”

    This is something I want to develop. nxt wordpress…

  • http://www.penn-olson.com/2011/02/15/jigsee-series-a-funding/ Jigsee, Mobile Video Streaming Start-up gets Series A funding | Penn Olson

    [...] could play a huge role Jigsee’s progress. We’ll see if Jigseecan  rise with the mobile trend. Share this [...]

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